Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.014504 0.017932 0.022352 0.028631 0.037608 0.050476 0.071343
2025-02-02 0.010995 0.015000 0.020982 0.031177 0.049620 0.085506 0.175244
2025-02-09 0.008818 0.012733 0.019120 0.031366 0.057576 0.123087 0.377755
2025-02-16 0.007463 0.011233 0.017801 0.031624 0.065761 0.174239 0.896423
2025-02-23 0.006477 0.010063 0.016642 0.031579 0.073363 0.241220 2.514275
2025-03-02 0.005582 0.008855 0.015070 0.029938 0.075464 0.296248 7.076146
2025-03-09 0.004964 0.008032 0.014050 0.029203 0.080094 0.385179 44.661481
2025-03-16 0.004574 0.007560 0.013637 0.029851 0.090654 0.575326 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004212 0.007086 0.013109 0.029987 0.099790 0.843629 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003809 0.006471 0.012150 0.028531 0.100483 1.037626 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003505 0.006020 0.011488 0.027777 0.104437 1.394527 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003331 0.005813 0.011360 0.028702 0.119586 2.572619 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003209 0.005733 0.011610 0.031390 0.155060 10.145301 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003091 0.005647 0.011845 0.034340 0.205591 180.906643 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002887 0.005343 0.011438 0.034558 0.234083 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002712 0.005079 0.011082 0.034852 0.268117 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002547 0.004818 0.010687 0.034801 0.301019 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002354 0.004469 0.009976 0.032929 0.298762 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002207 0.004216 0.009508 0.032092 0.315595 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002112 0.004078 0.009358 0.032830 0.374130 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002013 0.003919 0.009116 0.032984 0.426245 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001885 0.003678 0.008587 0.031327 0.419099 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001785 0.003497 0.008220 0.030470 0.436729 NaN NaN